How much do you really need to save for retirement?

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Use these insights from Merrill Lynch strategists to help determine if your retirement plan is on the right track.

Key points

  • How much you need to save for retirement is unique to your situation. What may be right for you will depend on your retirement expenses and the income you expect to help cover them.
  • It's important to have a comprehensive view of all the sources of income you might draw from after you retire
  • Use the Merrill Edge® Personal Retirement Calculator to check your progress versus your goal, find out if there's a gap and see how changes you make now can help you close it
Retirement experts have offered plenty rules of thumb about how much you need to save: somewhere near $1 million, 80 to 90% of your annual pre-retirement income, 12 times your pre-retirement salary. But what's right for you? And how do you know you're on track?
"Because there are so many variables, even the retirement researchers can't agree on a total dollar amount," says Ben Storey, director, Retirement & Personal Wealth Solutions, Merrill Lynch. "What each person needs will vary widely based on a number of factors."
Some people also may be surprised by the amount of income their seemingly large nest eggs could provide them, as the following chart shows.
Chart illustrating how much a 65-year-old can safely withdraw in the first year of retirement, for example, $40,000 from a savings of $1,000,000.
Just how big your nest egg should be and how long it might last will depend not only on what you save and invest, but also on how you spend it once you do retire. Here are some of the factors to consider as you determine what your unique savings goal should be.

Base your retirement savings estimate on what you expect to spend

"Having a percentage or dollar amount to give you a rough idea for planning can be helpful, but you can't be focused solely on that," says Bill Hunter, director, Personal Retirement Strategy and Solutions, Bank of America Merrill Lynch. "Everybody's lifestyle is different. What they want to do in their retirement years may be very different as well." Rather than rely on a general figure, Hunter suggests trying to create a ballpark annual estimate based on what you live on now and what might change when you retire.
The following chart from the Employee Benefit Research Institute (EBRI)Footnote 1 can give you a rough idea of how your expenses for housing,Footnote 2 food, health, transportation, clothing and entertainment may change during retirement to help you decide how much income you might need. If you plan to travel or entertain more — or pursue an expensive hobby — you'll want to think about adding in something for those more flexible, discretionary expenses, too.
Chart illustrating how older Americans today spend their money, for example, ages 65-74 spend 10% on health and 11% on entertainment while ages 85+ spend 13% on health and 6% on entertainment.
Remember, although some costs — such as health care — may increase in retirement, there may be savings elsewhere. "Researchers have found that once people retire they spend more time shopping carefully and preparing meals at home, for example. Their cost of living for items such as these goes down," says Storey.

Keep in mind all of the income sources you'll have to help cover your expenses

As you explore how much money you might really need in retirement, remember that the amount you decide to save and invest on your own is only one component of your future retirement income.
Chart illustrating the sources of income for households aged 65 or older, for example, 33% of income comes from Social Security and 34% comes from current employment earnings.
Most Americans will have Social Security as the backbone of their retirement savings. (Even if benefit payments are reduced in the future, Social Security is not likely to go away.) And don't forget about other sources of income that may be available to you many years from now, including the money in your workplace and personal retirement accounts, pensions, annuities, proceeds from selling your home or business, rental income or an inheritance.
As the "sources of income" chart shows, more retirees today are also increasing their income by working part-time or consulting, making earnings the second major source of retirement income today.
Working in retirement: expectations vs. reality
If you're planning to work in retirement so you can save less today, be realistic about your expectations. The annual Retirement Confidence Survey from the Employee Benefit Research Institute (EBRI)* has consistently found that American workers are far more likely to expect to work in retirement than actually end up doing so.
In EBRI's latest report, 79% of respondents planned to work in retirement, compared with just 29% of retirees who report they have worked for pay in retirement."
* Employee Benefit Research Institute 2017 Retirement Confidence Survey: Worker Confidence Stable, Retiree Confidence Continues to Increase, March 2017.

Two ways to check on your progress right now

Understanding your post-retirement expenses and income can help you estimate how much you may need to draw from your personal savings each year in retirement. However, it can be tough to turn that goal into a realistic amount to invest today when your goal is decades away. Here are two ways you can check on your progress to see if any changes should be made.
  1. For a quick check of how you're doing today vs. similar savers:
    Just as it can be helpful to see how your heart rate, blood pressure or weight compare to the "norm" when you get your annual physical, you can now assess how your retirement savings stack up against your peers by using the Net Wealth to Income Ratio developed by Merrill Lynch.
For example, if 39-year-old Jane, who earns $70,000 a year, wants to see how her savings measure up to the best savers in her age group, she would just multiply her current salary by 1.3 and compare that to her current savings. Thus, to keep up with the "best savers and investors" in her peer salary group, she would need to have saved $91,000 ($70,000 x 1.3) so far.
  1. To see where you are and what you can change to stay on track for the future:
    The Merrill Edge® Personal Retirement Calculator lets you view a projection of your savings to see if there is a gap between what you'll have and what you'll need when you finally retire and helps you adjust your strategy accordingly.

    With the calculator, you can see how potential adjustments to your savings goal, retirement date and investment choices can affect the size of your retirement savings in the future.

    For Merrill Edge clients, the Retirement Evaluator (login required) allows you to quickly import all of your Merrill Edge investment information to test similar scenarios.

    But even if these checkpoints show that you're behind where you might be, don't get discouraged by the big numbers you may see, advises Storey.
Whatever you save and invest today for the long term can make a big difference in the future. "If you need to save more, even a 1% increase can mean a lot over time," he says.
Next steps

Footnote 1 Based on estimates from Consumption Activities and Mail Survey (CAMS) in Employee Benefit Research Institute Notes, September 2015.

Footnote 2 Note: Housing costs include mortgage or rent payments, property insurance, property taxes, utilities and maintenance. They typically go down in retirement because mortgages are paid off, property taxes are less due to downsizing, and utility bills are lower with fewer people in the household.

Investing involves risk. There is always the potential of losing money when you invest in securities.

This material should be regarded as (general or educational) information on Social Security considerations and is not intended to provide specific Social Security advice. If you have questions regarding your particular situation, please contact your legal or tax advisor.

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